Research on Population Projection of High School Students and their Demand for Educational Resources in the Context of Dual Circulation


Dual circulation
High schools
Demand for education resources
Leslie model




High school is a link between compulsory education and higher education in China. The precise projection of high-school population is also a key premise of the rational high-school educational-resource allocation which is of importance to educational quality. Improving the education quality can promote the population quality and increase the accumulation of human capital to create a new geographic dividend and contribute to the new development model of dual circulation. Encouraging governments at all levels to increase financial investment in education is a demand-side dimension to study the demand for high-school educational resources. When promoting human capital accumulation, China should transform the reliance of its economic growth from “demographic dividend” to “talent dividend” to build a new development model of dual circulation. This paper built a Leslie model by matrix laboratory (MATLAB) to predict the high-school population and study the demand for high-school educational resources.


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